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  1. #1

    Nerfed Uncommon Gem Rate from Elementium Ore

    I just got through prospecting 5035 Elementium Ore.
    After the 1007 prospects I was left with 1049 uncommon gems, for 1.0417 gems/prospect. This is 21 standard deviations from the roughly 12/11 or 1.0909 gems/prospect rate I had been getting before 4.1. Random Luck shouldn't be able to get such a massively different result. It looks like the rate might be 1.04 or 26/25 now.

    I got 257 rares, which is reasonably close to the .25 or 252 rares expected so it doesn't look like this was changed.

  2. #2
    Sterling's Avatar
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    I can already hear Meyer's brain revving up. He can probably give some good input here.
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  3. #3
    Drrwho's Avatar
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    I'm honestly not surprised if the uncommon gem rate was slightly manipulated by Blizzard, as part of the whole gem vendor value change. While it technically is exclusive of each other, Blizzard may have tweaked some things a bit to further reduce the "easy gold" from prospecting ore.

    I've already noticed a big farming difference on my server from that change. It took about a week or two, but all of a sudden there has been a pretty significant increase in herbs on the AH, at 40g a stack or less. I've been able to get Whiptail and Twilight Jasmine for 38-40g a stack regularly now, whereas prior to 4.1 it was 50-60g a stack at least.

    Volatile Life prices have also started to decrease. Prior to 4.1, they were consistently 8-10g each. Now I'm seeing them for 6.8-7.5g each. I bought up about 1200 a few days ago at 6.75g each... and another stack of 200 for 4.98g each today (the next lowest price after that was 7g each again, so this was more so a fluke, but one I gladly snatched up).

    On the ore side though, I can't touch Elementium Ore for under 45-50g a stack anymore. Obsidium Ore is roughly the same price as well. The ore shuffle is not too good on my server right now. Sadly my JC efforts have suffered due to it. I've resorted to buying Carnelian and transmuting to Inferno Ruby, as those prices are still over 100g each.


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  4. #4
    Darraxus's Avatar
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    Both herbs and Ore on my server have been wildly fluctuating throughout the day. I have gotten elementium ore as low as 29 gold and the same day seeing it at 50 plus gold a stack. I have gotten some obsidium at 20 gold and seen it in the 40s as well. Same kind of things with Herbs.

    Could also be the fact that whenever I see good deals, I will empty out the market.

  5. #5
    Namssob's Avatar
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    We seem to be the opposite. I can't keep up with the 20g-30g/stack Elementium ore being posted by the farmers on my server. And Herbs are very tough to find at all.
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  6. #6
    Ore has plumeted on my server too and the last few days i have been picking up huge amounts. I already prospected a large amount but still have around 2000 stacks of ore queued up in my JC's mail box.

  7. #7
    Drrwho's Avatar
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    I wish prices on ore would drop... It's been around these prices since well before 4.1. The recent patch didn't seem to make ore prices budge much at all.


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  8. #8
    Quote Originally Posted by Drrwho View Post
    I wish prices on ore would drop... It's been around these prices since well before 4.1. The recent patch didn't seem to make ore prices budge much at all.
    On my server, the prices rose with the patch and stayed constant for a while. They've lowered slightly but are still above the pre-patch price.

  9. #9
    I've basically stopped playing WoW so I can't help you confirm/deny that, but here are some stats using your theoretical mean of 12/11:

    95% CI: (1080.665, 1116.426)
    Pr(X=1049)=1.46683362515x10^-7

    Don't know where you got that sample SD from, but it's 0.206722 while the theoretical SD is 0.287480.

    Think of this how you will.

  10. #10
    I realized my error, which makes it only 5.43 SD off, still not believable by RNG.

 

 

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